Strategic Mirage: America's India Bet Analysis

This commentary analyzes the complexities of the US-India strategic relationship, particularly in the context of America's efforts to counterbalance China. It outlines the inherent limitations of India's strategic autonomy and its deep economic ties with China, which raise questions about its reliability as a US partner. The document discusses Prime Minister Modi's recent visit to Washington and the implications of this diplomatic engagement. It details the challenges both nations face in trade and immigration, particularly concerning H-1B visas and the need for concessions. The commentary also highlights the growing strategic alignment between the US and India, evidenced by defense agreements and technological cooperation, while acknowledging India's manufacturing limitations. Furthermore, it examines India's relationships with adversaries like Russia and Iran, which complicate deeper technological cooperation with the West. The analysis concludes by emphasizing the need for both countries to manage their expectations and navigate their strategic interests carefully.