Pathway to Net Zero Carbon in United Arab Emirates

This report presents a detailed analysis of the United Arab Emirates' (UAE) strategy to achieve net-zero carbon emissions by 2050, as outlined in the UAE Energy Strategy 2050. The document describes the methodology and key assumptions used in modeling a least-cost pathway that includes 156.6 GW of renewable generation, decarbonized thermal generation, and energy storage. It highlights the projected 78% increase in electricity demand by 2050, driven by factors such as the adoption of electric vehicles and the electrification of industrial sectors. The report details a potential investment scenario that includes significant capacity additions in solar PV, gas turbines operating on green hydrogen, battery energy storage systems, and nuclear power. Additionally, it discusses the importance of decoupling water desalination from power generation to enhance efficiency and reduce emissions. The findings aim to inform decision-makers on market mechanisms to incentivize investment in the necessary technologies for achieving the UAE's ambitious decarbonization goals.