US Healthcare Trends and Projections for 2024

This technical report presents an analysis of anticipated trends in the US healthcare sector for 2024 and beyond. It outlines the impact of various factors, including labor shortages, inflation, and COVID-19 on the financial health of healthcare systems. The report details how transformation efforts have begun to ease the acute strain on the industry, with a projected recovery in financial performance as healthcare delivery players adapt. It highlights expected growth in profit pools across different segments, including Medicare Advantage and specialty pharmacy services, while also noting areas of slow growth such as general acute care. The report emphasizes the importance of technology adoption and the expansion of value-based care models, predicting that the duals population will significantly influence payer profit pools by 2027. The findings are supported by estimates of growth rates and changes in enrollment patterns, providing a comprehensive view of the evolving landscape of US healthcare.