NATO 2027 European Leadership for Deterrence Against Russia

This technical report examines NATO's strategic posture and operational capabilities in the context of deterrence against Russian aggression, particularly focusing on the need for European leadership. It outlines the findings of a NATO Force Mix Analysis conducted by the Atlantic Council and MITRE, which identifies critical vulnerabilities in NATO's current defense posture, including overreliance on U.S. military capabilities. The report details the necessity for NATO to develop a unified approach to defense, emphasizing the importance of operational integration, logistics, and joint force capabilities. It discusses the implications of the war in Ukraine and the evolving geopolitical landscape, including the challenges posed by Russia and the growing partnership between Russia and China. Recommendations for strengthening NATO's deterrence capabilities include enhancing military mobility, establishing a unified multidomain warfare doctrine, and investing in advanced defense infrastructure. The report serves as a blueprint for achieving a more self-reliant and capable NATO by 2027.