Summary
This technical report presents an analysis of key economic indicators for the remainder of 2025, focusing on the implications of various policies under President Trump's administration. The report outlines the importance of monitoring a broad dataset to gauge the health of the U.S. and global economies, emphasizing six categories: labor market data, consumer data, consumer and business confidence data, corporate conditions, trade data, and market pricing. It details the current state of the labor market, including the unemployment rate and employment-to-population ratio, while highlighting the impact of trade tariffs on consumer behavior and corporate earnings. The report also discusses the deterioration of consumer and business confidence and the potential risks posed by ongoing trade tensions. Overall, it emphasizes the need for strategic long-term asset allocation combined with tactical flexibility to navigate the evolving economic landscape.
