Climate Change Impacts on Tree Crop Suitability

This research article investigates the effects of climate change on the suitability of tree crops, specifically coconut, oil palm, and rubber, in Southeast Asia. The study combines climate change projections with data on crop cultivation to analyze how these crops' suitability will change under various scenarios. It finds that projected increases in precipitation and longer dry periods will lead to significant reductions in suitable areas for coconut and oil palm, while increasing temperatures may enhance suitability for rubber cultivation in certain regions. The research highlights that these changes could adversely affect local farmers, potentially leading to decreased yields and displacement of cultivation areas. Additionally, the findings suggest that the areas becoming more suitable for these crops are often located within Key Biodiversity Areas, raising concerns about biodiversity conservation in the region. The article emphasizes the need for assessments of climate change impacts on existing crop production areas to inform future agricultural practices.